NFL Week 17: Bullish Bets You Can Make with Confidence

Week 17 in the NFL can be tricky because some playoff spots have been decided while others have not. There are still a few bets that you can make with confidence but they are certainly fewer and far between. So let’s take a closer look at these games and see if we can cash in.

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

Sunday, January 03, 2021 – 01:00 PM EST at MetLife Stadium

Giants Have Already Given Up

I'm quite certain that this is the first time that I'll have an NFC East team as part of my bullish bets, but in this specific spot, Dallas is actually trying to make the playoffs while the Giants have already quit on the season. Also, the Giants' offense is really bad right now, and it simply does not have the horses to keep up with a high-powered Dallas offense. Yes, it's a bit weird to call an offense led by Andy Dalton high-powered in 2020.

Well, Dallas is averaging 36 points per game in their last three, and I don't see them getting less than 30 against this Giants squad. If you're wondering the last time the Giants scored 30 in a game, that would be back on October 11 against these same Cowboys, when they put up 34. Unfortunately, Dallas put up 37 that day, and the Giants' offense is nowhere close to as good right now.

I would take Dallas at -2.5 or even -3. If it gets to 3.5 though, either buy it back down or stay away. Most of the top online sportsbooks have the line at -3 or less at the moment, but that probably won't last long with money coming in on Dallas. Remember, this line opened at a PK, so it's already going the wrong way if you like the Cowboys.

Bullish Bet: Cowboys -1.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Cowboys -1.5(-110)

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Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

Sunday, January 03, 2021 - 04:25 PM EST at Soldier Field

Packers Clinch First Round Bye and Home Field

If the Green Bay Packers win against the Chicago Bears, they clinch the first overall seed in the NFC, home-field advantage, and a first-round bye. As up and down as the Bears season has been, they're still in a position to get the 7th seed. Even if they lose, the Bears could still get in with an Arizona loss. The last time these two teams met, the Packers won 41-25, and I'm afraid that in this spot, it could get worse.

If the Packers can clinch a home field while also possibly knocking the Bears out of the playoffs, that would be every Packer fans' dream come true. Of course, Green Bay has bigger fish to fry than hurting Bears fans' feelings, but there's also the Aaron Rodgers angle. I'm taking the Packers -5.5, which is still available according to the NFL odds page, depending on where you shop.

In his career, Rodgers is 18-5 against the Bears (19-5 if you include the playoffs) with 47 touchdowns to 10 interceptions. That's 2.1 touchdowns per game to 0.45 interceptions per game. There's also Mitch Trubisky's lack of success against the Packers to take into account although he really isn't successful against too many other teams to be fair. This is an absolute mismatch of the highest order at the QB position. Rodgers one of the front runners for MVP, while Trubisky is just trying to keep his job. I'll take the better quarterback with the better team and better coach laying less than a touchdown.

Bullish Bet: Packers -5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Packers -5(-108)

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